Bucks pull away to beat Raptors
Basketball Betting Lines
02/08/2012 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Six Bucks scored in double figures, including Carlos Delfino's season-high 25 points, as Milwaukee knocked off the Toronto Raptors, 105-99, at Air Canada Centre on Wednesday.
Linas Kleiza's free throws with 7:12 remaining gave Toronto a one-point lead, but a double technical foul on Kleiza and the Bucks' Larry Sanders set off a 12-2 Milwaukee run to seal the game.
Drew Gooden had his fifth double-double of the season with 20 points and 14 rebounds in the victory. Mike Dunleavy added 18 points, Stephen Jackson had 17, Brandon Jennings scored 11 and Luc Mbah a Moute netted 10 for the Bucks.
DeMar DeRozan paced the Raptors with 25 points, including 4-of-6 three-point shooting. James Johnson contributed 15 points and Kleiza and Leandro Barbosa added 12 and 11, respectively, off the bench for Toronto, which fell to 3-7 at home this season.
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tony Parker exploded for 37 points to go with eight assists as the Spurs held off the 76ers, 100-90, at Wells Fargo Center on Wednesday. Gary Neal added 18 points and Tim Duncan recorded a doubl
<< Boeheim passes Dean as Syracuse edges Georgetown
Syracuse, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kris Joseph scored a career-high 29 points and
hit the game-winning shot in overtime, as No. 2 Syracuse downed No. 12
Georgetown, 64-61, on Wednesday.
The Orange (24-1, 11-1 Big East) have won four st
<< Virginia rolls over Wake Forest
Charlottesville, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Scott led a balanced attack with
19 points and five rebounds as the 19th-ranked Virginia Cavaliers dominated
the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 68-44.
Joe Harris added 11 points for the Cavaliers
<< No. 11 Michigan State hangs on vs. PSU
East Lansing, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Draymond Green had 23 points and 12
rebounds and No. 11 Michigan State led wire-to-wire to beat Penn State, 77-57,
at Breslin Center on Wednesday.
Penn State cut the Spartans' advantage, as large
<< Cavs G Irving out with a concussion
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Cavaliers rookie point guard Kyrie
Irving has been ruled out of Wednesday's game against the Los Angeles Clippers
due to a concussion. He is listed as day-to-day.
Irving suffered the concussion aft
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeremy Lin's amazing debut continued Wednesday as the undrafted point guard recorded 23 points and 10 rebounds as the New York Knicks downed the Washington Wizards, 107-93. Lin made his second car
Cavaliers hang on to down Clippers >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In his first start of the season in place of
the concussed Kyrie Irving, Ramon Sessions outplayed Chris Paul, scoring 24
points to go with 13 assists as the Cleveland Cavaliers took down the Los
Angeles
Howard, Anderson lead Magic over Heat >>
Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Anderson scored 27 points, Dwight Howard
added 25 and both players had double-doubles to lead the Orlando Magic to a
102-89 win over the Miami Heat on Wednesday.
The Magic made 17 three-pointers and
Monroe leads Pistons over Nets >>
Newark, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Greg Monroe had 20 points to go with 12 rebounds
and four assists as the Detroit Pistons earned their second road win of the
season with a 99-92 win over the New Jersey Nets.
Jonas Jerebko scored 16 points to
Hurricanes roll past Tar Heels >>
Coral Gables, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Shenise Johnson scored 19 points and
Riquna Williams netted 17 to pace No. 6 Miami-Florida as it defeated No. 22
North Carolina, 61-37, at BankUnited Center on Wednesday.
The Hurricanes (21-3, 10
Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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